October 9, 2026 · 06:32 Uhr
European gas prices have risen from €30/MWh (Sept 2025) to €81/MWh (Sept 2026) – a doubling. German gas storage stands at only 56% in mid-September, supply security for winter critically at risk. Von der Leyen warns of insufficient gas supply without Russia; heating oil becomes 28% more expensive.
Wind energy is the strongest power source in 2026; renewable share reaches 47–53% daily. However: Grid charges rise in 2027 without federal subsidy to 6.52 ct/kWh (instead of 3.54 with subsidy), redispatch costs fall through HVDC lines only by end of 2026. Storage expansion (254 MW Vattenfall, 1.6 GW Vattenfall Nordlicht) is underway, capacity security remains a bottleneck.
Bayernwerk (EON subsidiary) systematically shuts off solar plants from operators – even when electricity is used directly on-site and causes no grid strain. Criticism of political paternalism favoring large corporations; allegations of Economic Minister-EON entanglement signal market distortion.
Radiant Energy Group study (June 2026) projects Neckarwestheim II at €1.7 billion / 47 months and Philippsburg II at €4.4 billion / 63 months; generation costs €38–66/MWh. EnBW deems re-entry uneconomical; AfD demands state intervention. Nuclear energy as energy security buffer remains politically blocked.
Vattenfall completes Nordlicht I (980 MW offshore) as Germany's largest wind farm; Nordlicht I+II together ~1.6 GW. EnBW launches He Dreiht (960 MW, without subsidy, 64 × 15-MW turbines), first commercial hybrid PPAs (solar + battery storage) establishing themselves. Offshore wind becomes backbone of electricity supply.
Germany is in a critical energy transformation phase: While renewables (wind, solar) assume over 50% of electricity generation in 2026, a structural dilemma emerges from exploded gas prices (doubling since 2025), massive grid cost increases, and storage capacity bottlenecks ahead of winter. Gas supply is endangered (storage below 60%, without Russia), nuclear power buffer options are politically blocked, and corporation-controlled market distortions (EON-Bayernwerk) threaten decentralized expansion. From a security perspective, this reinforces dependence on European gas import negotiations and makes Germany energetically vulnerable to price and supply shocks over the next 12–24 months.
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